Coffee Market on October 13, 2026: Robusta and Arabica Recover, Central Highlands Prices Edge Up
The coffee market on October 13, 2026 recorded recovery signals in London Robusta and New York Arabica futures contracts. In Vietnam, green bean prices in the Central Highlands rose slightly, ranging from VND 92,500–93,200/kg according to prices published during the day.
1. Price movements on international futures exchanges
The two key coffee markets, London and New York, both recorded positive movements in the data updated on October 13. However, volatility must be interpreted according to the specific futures contract and update time, as intraday displayed prices may differ from end-of-session settlement prices.
London Robusta Price
The November 2026 Robusta futures contract was recorded at USD 3,478/tonne, an increase of USD 8/tonne from the previous session's USD 3,470/tonne, equivalent to approximately 0.23%. This price level indicates that the near-term futures contract remains above the USD 3,450/tonne threshold.
Nevertheless, single-session price volatility alone is insufficient to conclude a shortage in spot supply. For a more reliable assessment, it is necessary to monitor certified stockpiles, export progress, actual volumes brought to market, and price differentials across contract months.
New York Arabica Price
The December 2026 Arabica futures contract reached 290.60 US cents/pound. Cross-referenced data recorded an increase of 3.65 cents/pound from 286.95 cents/pound, equivalent to approximately 1.27%.
This increase is higher than the 1.03% rate in the input data. Therefore, this article uses the approximately 1.27% movement calculated from the previous and current prices. The upward trend may align with technical buying or shifts in supply-demand expectations, but there is insufficient basis to identify a single factor as the direct cause.
International Coffee Futures Price Table
Unit: USD/tonne for Robusta; US cents/pound for Arabica.
| Market | Contract | Recorded Price | Movement | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| London Robusta | November 2026 | USD 3,478/tonne | +USD 8/tonne | +0,23% |
| New York Arabica | December 2026 | 290.60 US cents/lb | +3.65 cents/lb | Approximately +1.27% |
On mobile, swipe the table horizontally to view all columns.
Note on timing: these are prices recorded in market data updated on 13/10/2026, and do not automatically represent the final settlement price for the entire session. Reference source: World Coffee Prices – Bao Lam Dong.
2. Domestic coffee prices: Central Highlands ranging from 92,500–93,200 VND/kg
The domestic bulk green coffee market recorded an upward trend in several key purchasing regions. Sources published on 13/10 reported Đắk Lắk at 93,200 VND/kg, while Lâm Đồng was around 92,500 VND/kg. Prices at individual dealers may vary based on bean quality, moisture content, impurities, and delivery terms.
| Purchasing region | Reference price (VND/kg) | Price movement information |
|---|---|---|
| Đắk Lắk | 93.200 | One source reported an increase of 200 VND/kg |
| Gia Lai | 93.200 | Prices stated in the input bulletin; further verification required by purchasing point |
| Đắk Nông (purchasing area) | 93.200 | Prices stated in the input bulletin; further verification required by purchasing point |
| Lâm Đồng | 92.500 | One source reported this price; another source had data from a different time |
On mobile, swipe the table horizontally to view all columns.
According to Nong Dan Viet, coffee prices in Đắk Lắk on 13/10/2026 were recorded at 93,200 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg compared to the previous day. Dan Viet also reported that Central Highlands coffee prices ranged from 92,500–93,200 VND/kg.
Reference sources: Nong Dan Viet – Đắk Lắk coffee prices on 13/10/2026; Dan Viet – World and Central Highlands coffee prices.
Regarding daily increases: the input bulletin stated that Lâm Đồng increased by 300 VND/kg, while Đắk Lắk, Gia Lai, and Đắk Nông increased by 200 VND/kg. As public sources are not entirely consistent regarding prices and recording times, these increases should be understood as data from the input bulletin, not independently verified uniformly across the entire region.
3. Global coffee supply and demand: Factors to monitor
Supply from producing countries
Harvesting and export progress in major producing countries can affect the volume of goods available on the international market. When new supply is released steadily, selling pressure may increase; conversely, if actual deliveries are slower than expected, futures prices may receive support.
However, to confirm that Colombian exports have surged or that Brazil's new crop supply is directly pressuring prices in the 13/10 session, specific data on export volumes, production yields, and announcement timelines are required. This information has not been fully verified within the scope of this bulletin.
Weather and yield risks
Weather conditions in coffee-growing regions of South America and Southeast Asia are critical factors for yield prospects. Rainfall, temperature, soil moisture, and the timing of dry spells can all affect the growth and development of coffee cherries.
El Niño may alter rainfall and temperature patterns in certain areas, but its specific impact depends on the region and the stage of the crop cycle. Therefore, one should not assume that El Niño is directly reducing yields or driving prices higher without updated meteorological data and crop assessments.
Inventory and capital flows in the futures market
Certified stocks, price differentials across contract months, trading volumes, and fund positions are key indicators for assessing the quality of a recovery. Rising prices amid declining inventories may reflect tightening deliverable supplies, but concurrent data must be checked before drawing conclusions.
In the session mentioned, there was insufficient verified data to conclude that low inventory levels or speculative capital flows were the primary drivers of the price increase. These variables require continued monitoring in subsequent reports.
4. Brazilian Arabica prices: Further contract data verification required
The input data stated that the December 2026 Brazilian Arabica futures contract fell by 1.10% to USD 350 per 60-kg bag. However, this price level, quoting unit, contract code, and percentage movement have not been verified against appropriate trading sources during editing.
Therefore, the above figures were not included in the confirmed price table and were not used as a basis for asserting that Brazilian Arabica is declining due to domestic supply pressure. Before publishing such data, the exact exchange name, contract code, currency, and settlement price for the corresponding contract month must be accurately identified.
5. Short-term outlook for the coffee market
Market movements on 13/10 showed that both London Robusta and New York Arabica rose according to cross-referenced data, while farmgate prices in the Central Highlands edged up in some areas. However, a single session of gains is insufficient to confirm that the market has entered a sustainable uptrend.
In the short term, the market should be monitored through four groups of indicators:
- Futures prices: the sustainability of London Robusta and New York Arabica levels following the recovery.
- Actual supply: harvest progress, volume of goods released to the market, and export data from major producing countries.
- Inventories: fluctuations in certified stocks on exchanges.
- Weather: rainfall, temperature trends, and climate alerts in key growing regions.
For growers and purchasing companies in Vietnam, it is advisable to combine exchange reference prices with actual cargo quality, domestic price differentials, financing costs, and delivery requirements. International futures prices cannot directly replace local green bean buying and selling prices.
6. Scope of verification and notes on data usage
- London Robusta November 2026: USD 3,478/tonne, up USD 8/tonne or approximately 0.23%; supported by public price sources.
- New York Arabica December 2026: 290.60 cents/lb; an increase of 3.65 cents/lb, equivalent to approximately 1.27%, consistent with cross-referenced price data.
- Domestic coffee prices: VND 93,200/kg in Đắk Lắk and approximately VND 92,500–93,200/kg in the Central Highlands, supported by daily news sources; note that price levels and fluctuations vary by location and update timing.
- Brazilian Arabica at USD 350 per 60-kg bag, down 1.10%: not independently verified; should not be cited as confirmed data.
- Assertions regarding Colombian exports, Brazilian supply, inventories, and El Niño: specialized contemporaneous data is required to determine the role of each factor in price movements during the session.
The prices in this article are for reference based on sources and publication times. Actual prices may vary depending on the trading session, purchasing location, coffee quality, and delivery terms.
Market perspective: Price recovery needs to be confirmed by supply and demand data
The upward momentum of Robusta and Arabica on 13/10/2026 brings positive signals to the market, but the future outlook still depends on the balance between actual supply, consumption demand, inventory, and crop season expectations. Clearly distinguishing between futures prices, domestic purchase prices, and unverified information helps readers avoid confusing short-term fluctuations with long-term trends.
SAVINA Coffee Knowledge continues to monitor market indicators and crop season data to provide evidence-based insights for growers, purchasing entities, and coffee businesses.