Global coffee market overview for September 30, 2026
The global coffee market on September 30, 2026 (reflecting closing data from the trading session on September 29, 2026) witnessed a clear divergence among international futures exchanges. Selling pressure intensified from Brazil as its harvest season gradually drew to a close, combined with exchange rate fluctuations that directly impacted investor sentiment. The two major exchanges, London and New York, both closed in the red, while Brazil’s domestic Arabica exchange maintained slight upward momentum.
Analysis of futures exchanges
London Robusta Exchange (ICE Futures Europe)
For green coffee beans Robusta, the November 2026 futures contract (ticker ICEEUR:RCX2026) closed at 3,410 USD/tonne, edging down 0.06% (equivalent to a decrease of approximately 2 USD/tonne) compared to the previous trading session. This decline indicates a sideways consolidation phase for Robusta ahead of Vietnam’s peak harvest season.
New York Arabica Exchange (ICE Futures US)
Arabica coffee prices for the December 2026 futures contract (ticker ICEUS:KCZ2026) on the New York exchange recorded a sharper decline, closing at 292.7 US cents/lb, representing a 1.25% correction from the previous session. Technical correction pressure emerged following a period of rapid growth, accompanied by short-term capital flows.
Brazil Arabica Exchange (B3)
In contrast to the New York exchange, domestic Arabica coffee prices on the Brazil exchange for the December 2026 futures contract (ticker BMFBOVESPA:ICFZ2026) remained positively green, rising 0.74% to 358 USD/bag (60 kg). This reflects relatively strong domestic demand and spot transactions within the South American supply source.
Domestic coffee market: Stable slight increase
In Vietnam’s domestic market, prices for unsorted green coffee in the Central Highlands region continued the slight recovery trend from the previous day. The entire region recorded a uniform increase of 200 VND/kg across all key coffee-growing provinces.
Currently, purchase prices range from 93,200 to 94,000 VND/kg. Specific prices in localities are recorded as follows:
- Dak Nong: Leading the region with the highest purchase price of 94,000 VND/kg (up from 93,800 VND/kg yesterday).
- Dak Lak & Gia Lai: Both maintaining a trading level of 93,800 VND/kg (an increase of 200 VND/kg from the previous session’s 93,600 VND/kg).
- Lam Dong: Recorded the lowest price in the region at 93,200 VND/kg (up from 93,000 VND/kg the previous day).
This slight increase indicates that exporters and purchasing agents are operating cautiously, primarily preparing storage facilities and financing before entering the new 2026/2027 crop harvest.
Macroeconomic factors influencing the market
The divergent movements in the coffee market during today’s session were significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors and actual supply conditions:
- Fluctuations in the Brazilian Real (BRL) exchange rate: The Brazilian Real continued to weaken, hitting multi-week lows against the USD. The depreciation of the local currency prompted Brazilian farmers and exporters to accelerate coffee sales to the international market to secure higher-value USD, creating direct downward pressure on the New York exchange.
- Expectations of supply from Brazil: Market reports from Barchart and Trading Economics indicate that harvesting in Brazil is completing its final stages, with forecasts suggesting favorable yield results, thereby alleviating some earlier concerns about global supply shortages.
- Anticipation of Vietnam’s harvest: The Robusta market is focusing attention on the Central Highlands, where farmers are preparing to enter the main harvest period. The ripening progress of the cherries and weather conditions in this region will be decisive factors for Robusta price trends in the final months of the year.